📰 Crypto news #130 - Bitcoin, Pakistan, Stablecoins, Strategy's BTC addresses, ETFs

🎯 The latest Bitcoin price targets from key figures

Influential figures from the financial sector have been voicing extremely optimistic Bitcoin price forecasts lately.

For example, bestselling author and entrepreneur Robert Kiyosaki (Rich Dad, Poor Dad) sees the Bitcoin price reaching $1,000,000 in the long term. He is supported in his assessment by Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, and Eric Trump, son of the current US president.

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While Wood has a price target of $1.5 million by 2030 - based on macroeconomic shifts and the decreasing availability of new coins - Kiyosaki emphasizes that institutional capital inflows and distrust of fiat currencies could significantly increase the value of Bitcoin in the medium to long term.

"I strongly believe, by 2035, that one Bitcoin will be over $1 million, gold will be $30,000, and silver $3,000 a coin," Kiyosaki shared on his X account:

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Eric Trump, on the other hand, sees Bitcoin as a bulwark against government intervention and emphasizes the growing interest of conservative investors in "hard assets". He describes Bitcoin as a global store of value and protection against inflation, instability and crises.

In his view, the hard limit of 21 million coins makes BTC particularly powerful, a counter-model to the existing financial system that is suitable for the masses.

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Technical indicators also point to a possible upswing. According to the analysis platform Stockmoney Lizards, Bitcoin recently broke through the so-called OTT bands, a long-term trend indicator that has led to strong price rallies in previous market cycles.

Analysts speak of an "obvious" pattern that could prepare new highs, comparable to the upward movements in 2016 and 2020. Their short-term target is $120,000, with a long-term target of up to $200,000 this year.

A continued growth to $250,000 in 2026 is also plausible, according to them.

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🍰 93% of all possible bitcoins already mined

Bitcoin is known as a deflationary asset: it has a fixed limit of 21 million units, a maximum number that is hard coded in the Bitcoin protocol.

Since the Bitcoin network launch in 2009, around 93.3% of the 21 millions bitcoins have already been mined, this corresponds to around 19.6 million BTC. The remaining 6.7% will be created at an ever slower pace until around the year 2140, it is estimated.

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This asymptotic emission path results from the regular halvings, in which the block reward is divided by two every 210,000 blocks. While the first few years brought a disproportionately high amount of BTC into the network, it will take the next 100 years before the last satoshis are mined. By 2035, 99% of all Bitcoin are expected to be in circulation.

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However, not all these coins are in circulation. Analysts such as Chainalysis or Glassnode assume that up to 3.8 million BTC - or 18% of the total supply - have been lost forever: lost wallets, destroyed hard drives or untouched early addresses, including those attributed to Bitcoin's creator Satoshi Nakamoto.

It means that in reality, we can expect a final circulating supply well under 21 million BTC. Unlike gold, which can be recycled, lost bitcoins are lost for good. For investors, this means that an increasing scarcity meets an increasing demand, which results in an upward pressure on the price.

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🇵🇰 Pakistan establishes a strategic Bitcoin reserve

On May 28, Pakistan officially announced the establishment of a state-run Bitcoin reserve. The announcement was made by Bilal Bin Saqib, head of the National Crypto Council, at the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas - inspired by recent US policy under President Trump.

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The decision marks a fundamental change of course: until recently, crypto was considered illegal in Pakistan. Now, with the support of international players such as Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, the first regulatory structures are emerging.

2,000 megawatts of surplus energy have already been released for Bitcoin mining, and a new Digital Asset Authority is to oversee crypto platforms and issue licenses in the future.

Pakistan is thus positioning itself strategically, not just as a user but as a manager of digital reserve assets.

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💵 Stablecoin law aims to secure US dollar supremacy

The United States are preparing a comprehensive stablecoin law to secure the dominance of the US dollar in the digital space. The aim is to establish regulated dollar stablecoins such as USDC or PayPal USD as a global means of payment, before other states like China or the EU implement their own alternatives.

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Republican MP French Hill emphasizes the geopolitical significance: "If we don't create digital dollar stablecoins, others will."

Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire also warns that the global dollar leadership role is at risk if there is a lack of a clear legal framework.

The planned law provides for licensing obligations, transparency requirements and stable reserve requirements for issuers. It could still be passed in 2025 as a regulatory milestone for the digital dollar. The law is known as the "GENIUS Act" and is intended to promote innovation, security and US leadership in the stablecoin sector.

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🔎 Arkham identifies 87% of Strategy's BTC addresses

The analytics company Arkham Intelligence claims to have identified around 70,800 additional bitcoins belonging to Strategy (ex MicroStrategy) worth $7.6 billion. According to Arkham, 87.5% of the company's BTC holdings have been identified and can now be publicly followed.

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Strategy CEO Michael Saylor had previously warned against the publication of such wallet addresses at the Bitcoin 2025 conference. For him, it poses a significant security risk, as future transactions would be traceable.

"No company-level security analyst would think it's a good idea to make all wallet addresses public," Saylor said.

Disclosure exposes every company to potential risks, which often only become visible after a time delay. To illustrate the extent of this, he referred to AI-supported analyses that could reveal "50 pages full of security problems".

Arkham replied: "Saylor said he would never give out his addresses - so we did." However, the attributions are not without controversy - Arkham has previously been criticized for faulty analysis in relation to the Mantra Token collapse.

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🤕 Ethereum ETFs are deep in the red

According to a recent analysis by Glassnode, investors in the Ethereum spot ETFs from BlackRock and Fidelity are currently down 21% on average.

The funds were launched in July 2024 at an Ethereum price of around $3,500 while it is today significantly lower.

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The US government's import tariffs on goods from China, Canada and Mexico, which were introduced in spring 2025, were a major negative factor. As a result, the Ethereum price temporarily fell to an annual low of $1,472 - well below the average entry level of ETF investors.

Glassnode observes that many investors reduce their positions precisely when the current ETH price falls below this entry threshold. At the same time, the new Ethereum ETFs had little impact on the market in the first few months: their share of the daily trading volume was initially just 1.5% - an indication of subdued demand at the start.

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However, there have been signs of a slight trend reversal in recent weeks: Between May 16 and the end of May, the funds recorded net inflows totaling $435.6 million for nine days in a row, mainly thanks to the US tariffs being partially blocked US the courts, easing market sentiment as a result.

However, it remains to be seen whether Ethereum ETFs can build a similar market momentum to their Bitcoin counterparts in the long term. Analysts are cautious, not least because the regulatory framework for Ethereum remains unclear.

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🔑 Access through crypto ETFs remain key

Despite the growing prevalence of crypto investment through self-custodial wallets, ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood sees exchange-traded crypto funds (ETFs) as a key investment vehicle in the long term.

At the Solana Accelerate conference, she explained: "ETFs are an important stepping stone - wallets often seem complicated. Many people just want to press a button."

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At the same time, Wood sees crypto wallets as an important hedge against weaknesses in the traditional financial system. For newcomers, Ethereum is a sensible starting point for understanding smart contracts before dedicating themselves to projects such as Solana.

Wood is less convinced by the impact of Ethereum ETFs so far: these have fallen short of expectations, mainly because staking features have not yet been approved by the SEC.

She was also cautious about Solana: the introduction of the TRUMP memecoin on this blockchain may have deterred some institutional investors.

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Even though ETFs and centralized providers offer a convenient entry point, these are currently almost exclusively available in the USA. Real financial sovereignty can only be achieved by using decentralized, self-custody wallets.

For an easy start, we have provided step-by-step articles on our blog and in our FAQs. Particularly helpful for beginners: our Getting Started guide - for anyone who really wants to store Bitcoin, Ethereum & Co. themselves.

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